Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 40.120755 45.628557 51.376652 57.802389 64.764445 72.059698 80.261701
2025-04-20 32.564157 40.651662 49.613115 60.185930 72.225402 85.418719 100.878718
2025-04-27 27.910862 37.246521 48.033137 61.227225 76.741196 94.222836 115.226672
2025-05-04 24.189957 34.315554 46.463112 61.795993 80.320450 101.680456 127.867971
2025-05-11 22.205104 33.166245 46.732474 64.295317 85.972178 111.415528 143.091794
2025-05-18 19.893880 31.300805 45.862583 65.182799 89.517546 118.558857 155.229222
2025-05-25 17.003003 28.341990 43.314185 63.704589 89.936372 121.779139 162.565901
2025-06-01 14.806727 26.090969 41.474373 62.935506 91.077763 125.760952 170.747245
2025-06-08 13.165025 24.450856 40.300717 62.902300 93.050563 130.704782 180.081449
2025-06-15 12.359067 23.959548 40.645035 64.852072 97.572243 138.858345 193.448589
2025-06-22 11.163268 22.744058 39.861962 65.181152 99.909169 144.221011 203.341420
2025-06-29 10.086000 21.601947 39.089962 65.446397 102.106568 149.380535 212.987154
2025-07-06 8.539887 19.546158 36.859764 63.585470 101.418124 150.847407 218.046786
2025-07-13 8.120316 19.375858 37.470480 65.808536 106.345339 159.717891 232.718770
2025-07-20 7.508857 18.794128 37.388425 66.981799 109.804633 166.664167 244.947015
2025-07-27 6.835786 18.021810 36.944156 67.573681 112.428903 172.505596 255.775026
2025-08-03 6.627784 18.107113 37.874411 70.234401 117.998665 182.335427 271.899954
2025-08-10 6.116163 17.541219 37.692143 71.177207 121.116444 188.882496 283.757629
2025-08-17 5.224934 16.092532 35.933115 69.605897 120.554574 190.400225 288.950223
2025-08-24 4.552922 15.004047 34.705165 68.788026 121.026586 193.291068 295.953094
2025-08-31 4.064254 14.247114 34.000484 68.752716 122.615161 197.706339 305.007289
2025-09-07 3.902717 14.223412 34.602776 70.825777 127.347793 206.514596 320.033789
2025-09-14 3.532247 13.650533 34.163701 71.175550 129.496174 211.732292 330.243071